Monday, January 10, 2005

Predictions for 2005

+The Internet will continue to engulf entire industries eg Telephone > Voip, Record Industry > iTunes, Movie Rentals > NetFlix, Cable TV > IpTV
+Wireless IP phones will gain popularity sharply, eventually being integrated into cell phones.
+Internet TV will become viable and initiate a ton of law-suits
-CPU speeds will level off causing AMD & Intel to "cheat" putting 2 cores in 1 cpu, and requiring most software to need a multi-thread re-write to take advantage of this.
-cell processors will generate hype but nothing else
+Spam will decrease due to SPF
-We'll see the first Voip Spam
-Spyware will increase
-Viruses will increase, of course
-M$ will waste resources developing Spyware and Virus scanners instead of fixing the holes in its products
+WiMax will be released and instantly be in demand making PowerLineNetworking and UltraWideBand obsolete.
-Linux will continue to see growth in purpose-built boxes (Myth TV) but still not be a generic desktop
-netziens will continue to shun big companies that sue for profit eg. Solaris, M$, Recording Industry etc.
-PS2 and Xbox will be overshadowed by portable devices (Nintendo DS, Sony PSP)
-Apple will look for the next killer device, and fail (shuffle)
-The year's killer devices will be portable with alternate power sources (eg solar, tiny fuel cell)
-battery technology will cause problems by NOT advancing. (disposables did advance)
-sides will be chosen between integrated devices and connected devices
-the trend towards smaller devices will finally make them wearable but will introduce new problems such as keypad size, voice dialing
+HE vehicle drivetrains will become cost effective
+Fuel cell technology will advance but still not be cost effective

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